(Seguin) -- The Seguin Police Department is releasing its latest 2017 crime rate numbers as compared to those offenses committed during the first half of 2015 and 2016.
Captain Victor Pacheco says while the city's growth has helped to report an 8.2 percent increase in the crime rate, he believes the numbers are still relatively in pattern to what the city has experienced over the last two years from the periods reporting January through June.
"We are a growing community. We're having a lot of growth -- first people (and) businesses in and out. So we had 588 reported cases in the first six months of 2017 -- so 59 more cases. We had 588 total cases and 2016 we had 549.
Basically, those 59 cases is what causes the crime rate to increase. So if you think about the growth that we had -- in 2016, we had an estimated population of 27,864. Right now, an estimated population by the Census Bureau is 28,614 so that's a thousand more people -- so 59 reports with a thousand more people within our community. That's not even counting the people that are (included in) our daytime population for businesses. That is really good," said Pacheco.
Pacheco says while most categories including homicide and robbery are down, areas such as burglary and theft have helped to condition the increase -- an increase that he says doesn't always tell the real details behind such crimes.
He says in the cases of rape, assaults and thefts, on the surface it appears as though there is a dramatic increase.
However, he says when you examine the statistics more closely, "the numbers tell a different story. In 2017, with increases in reported crimes to rape, assaults and thefts -- five, 10 and eight (cases) respectively, it caused a large percentage jump.
"What we've seen is a slight increase in some of the crimes of passion, the rape and) assault went up slightly, but what we also saw was property crimes, thefts and burglary which really kind of taint these (theft) numbers that barely went up from 397 to 405 from 2016 to 2017, but the burglaries went from 66 to 110. So those 44 extra reports basically is what you see (causing) the increase in the crime rate. Those 44 reports also were a direct reflection of a small number of suspects that were arrested for this offenses. Between three suspects, we were able to clear over 100 burglaries, dating back to I think December," said Pacheco.
Pacheco says they project that if the crime report continues at this same pace, the annual rate will be 4,108 crimes as compared to 4,159.5 in 2016 -- resulting in a 1.23 percent decrease.
"We project still that the crime rate will decrease by the end of the year if we stay on track with what we're seeing the numbers at right now. Seguin's still a great place to be. The police department is still progressing and moving forward," said Pacheco.
Again, the numbers reflect an analysis as released by Uniform Crime Report statistics for the first six months of 2017.